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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Liverpool Win
23%
4.41
23%
4.41
55%
1.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.7%
Away win
0 – 1
7.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.24
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
3.25
2.01
Liverpool xG
Aston VillaDrawLiverpool
4.41
23%
Home win
4.41
23%
Draw
1.83
55%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.64
Clean Sheet
13%
7.47
29%
3.46
Win to Nil
3%
32.95
16%
6.32
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 7.8 | 7.8 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| 1 | 4.8 | 9.7 | 9.7 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.240
λ Away (xG)
2.011
Total xG
3.251
League avg home goals
1.505
League avg away goals
1.504
Aston Villa attack strength
0.984
Aston Villa defence strength
0.891
Liverpool attack strength
1.501
Liverpool defence strength
0.838
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
63 / 63