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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
72%
1.40
18%
5.69
11%
9.17
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
8.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.3%
Home win
3 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.76
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
3.83
1.07
Leicester xG
Aston VillaDrawLeicester
1.40
72%
Home win
5.69
18%
Draw
9.17
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
89%
Over 1.5
1.12
11%
Under 1.5
9.09
74%
Over 2.5
1.35
26%
Under 2.5
3.85
53%
Over 3.5
1.89
47%
Under 3.5
2.13
34%
Over 4.5
2.94
66%
Under 4.5
1.52
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.68
Clean Sheet
34%
2.92
6%
15.77
Win to Nil
25%
4.08
1%
144.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 6.0 | 6.4 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 8.9 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.6 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.758
λ Away (xG)
1.070
Total xG
3.828
League avg home goals
1.467
League avg away goals
1.477
Aston Villa attack strength
1.158
Aston Villa defence strength
0.941
Leicester attack strength
0.770
Leicester defence strength
1.623
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
57 / 19