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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Aston Villa Win
45%
2.23
36%
2.79
19%
5.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.3%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
12.8%
Draw
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.28
Aston Villa xG
Total xG
2.06
0.78
Everton xG
Aston VillaDrawEverton
2.23
45%
Home win
2.79
36%
Draw
5.15
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.35
58%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
46%
2.19
28%
3.59
Win to Nil
20%
4.88
5%
18.46
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.8 | 10.0 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.3 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.4 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.277
λ Away (xG)
0.782
Total xG
2.059
League avg home goals
1.489
League avg away goals
1.206
Aston Villa attack strength
1.193
Aston Villa defence strength
0.786
Everton attack strength
0.824
Everton defence strength
0.719
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
59 / 59