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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Villa Park

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Aston Villa Win

56%

Aston Villa

1.78

28%

Draw

3.53

15%

Brentford

6.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Aston Villa xG

Total xG

2.79

0.93

Brentford xG

56%
28%
15%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford

1.78

56%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

6.47

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

39%

Aston Villa

2.53

16%

Brentford

6.42

Win to Nil

22%

Aston Villa

4.50

2%

Brentford

41.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 10.6 4.9 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.9 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.6 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 3.1 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.860
λ Away (xG) 0.929
Total xG 2.789
League avg home goals 1.478
League avg away goals 1.262
Aston Villa attack strength 1.131
Aston Villa defence strength 0.787
Brentford attack strength 0.937
Brentford defence strength 1.112
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61