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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
55%
1.81
23%
4.44
22%
4.50
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.87
Arsenal xG
Total xG
2.98
1.10
Nottingham Forest xG
ArsenalDrawNottingham Forest
1.81
55%
Home win
4.44
23%
Draw
4.50
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.77
43%
BTTS No
2.30
Clean Sheet
33%
3.02
15%
6.49
Win to Nil
18%
5.46
3%
29.26
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.871
λ Away (xG)
1.105
Total xG
2.976
League avg home goals
1.445
League avg away goals
1.247
Arsenal attack strength
1.311
Arsenal defence strength
0.848
Nottingham Forest attack strength
1.045
Nottingham Forest defence strength
0.988
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 41