🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
60%
1.66
25%
3.98
15%
6.78
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 1
9.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.10
Arsenal xG
Total xG
3.10
1.00
Manchester United xG
ArsenalDrawManchester United
1.66
60%
Home win
3.98
25%
Draw
6.78
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.38
Clean Sheet
37%
2.72
12%
8.16
Win to Nil
22%
4.53
2%
55.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.9 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.099
λ Away (xG)
1.002
Total xG
3.101
League avg home goals
1.475
League avg away goals
1.223
Arsenal attack strength
1.273
Arsenal defence strength
0.673
Manchester United attack strength
1.218
Manchester United defence strength
1.118
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60