Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Thu 8 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

64%

Arsenal

1.57

22%

Draw

4.62

15%

Liverpool

6.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.6%

Home win

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.38

Arsenal xG

Total xG

3.49

1.11

Liverpool xG

64%
22%
15%
ArsenalDrawLiverpool

1.57

64%

Home win

4.62

22%

Draw

6.81

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.60

37%

BTTS No

2.67

Clean Sheet

33%

Arsenal

3.05

9%

Liverpool

10.75

Win to Nil

21%

Arsenal

4.79

1%

Liverpool

73.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.3 8.1 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 8.6 9.6 5.3 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.8 7.6 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.375
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 3.489
League avg home goals 1.523
League avg away goals 1.261
Arsenal attack strength 1.414
Arsenal defence strength 0.719
Liverpool attack strength 1.229
Liverpool defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58