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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
54%
1.85
24%
4.16
22%
4.58
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
2 – 0
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.70
Arsenal xG
Total xG
2.69
0.99
Leeds xG
ArsenalDrawLeeds
1.85
54%
Home win
4.16
24%
Draw
4.58
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.95
49%
BTTS No
2.05
Clean Sheet
37%
2.68
18%
5.48
Win to Nil
20%
4.95
4%
25.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 6.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 9.7 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.701
λ Away (xG)
0.986
Total xG
2.687
League avg home goals
1.416
League avg away goals
1.242
Arsenal attack strength
1.045
Arsenal defence strength
0.934
Leeds attack strength
0.850
Leeds defence strength
1.150
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
39 / 1