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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 27 Dec 2024

20:15

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

62%

Arsenal

1.61

25%

Draw

4.06

13%

Ipswich

7.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.87

0.86

Ipswich xG

62%
25%
13%
ArsenalDrawIpswich

1.61

62%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

7.46

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

42%

Arsenal

2.37

13%

Ipswich

7.41

Win to Nil

26%

Arsenal

3.83

2%

Ipswich

55.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.4 9.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
2 11.4 9.9 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.6 6.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.8 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.003
λ Away (xG) 0.864
Total xG 2.867
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.464
Arsenal attack strength 1.167
Arsenal defence strength 0.715
Ipswich attack strength 0.826
Ipswich defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17