Arsenal vs Everton – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
72%
1.38
19%
5.27
9%
11.55
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
13.3%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.6%
Home win
3 – 0
10.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.29
Arsenal xG
Total xG
2.98
0.69
Everton xG
ArsenalDrawEverton
1.38
72%
Home win
5.27
19%
Draw
11.55
9%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
50%
2.00
10%
9.84
Win to Nil
36%
2.77
1%
113.57
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 1 | 11.6 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.3 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.1 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.286
λ Away (xG)
0.694
Total xG
2.980
League avg home goals
1.651
League avg away goals
1.401
Arsenal attack strength
1.266
Arsenal defence strength
0.770
Everton attack strength
0.644
Everton defence strength
1.094
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 52