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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
59%
1.71
21%
4.68
20%
4.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.00
Arsenal xG
Total xG
3.09
1.09
Chelsea xG
ArsenalDrawChelsea
1.71
59%
Home win
4.68
21%
Draw
4.98
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.75
43%
BTTS No
2.34
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
14%
7.40
Win to Nil
20%
5.06
3%
36.89
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.002
λ Away (xG)
1.086
Total xG
3.088
League avg home goals
1.446
League avg away goals
1.493
Arsenal attack strength
1.194
Arsenal defence strength
0.773
Chelsea attack strength
0.940
Chelsea defence strength
1.159
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66