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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 27 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

64%

Arsenal

1.55

21%

Draw

4.82

15%

Brighton

6.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.82

0.83

Brighton xG

64%
21%
15%
ArsenalDrawBrighton

1.55

64%

Home win

4.82

21%

Draw

6.75

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

44%

Arsenal

2.29

14%

Brighton

7.29

Win to Nil

28%

Arsenal

3.55

2%

Brighton

49.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 9.9 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 11.8 9.8 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 7.8 6.5 2.7 0.7 0.2
4 3.9 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.987
λ Away (xG) 0.829
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.547
League avg away goals 1.270
Arsenal attack strength 1.282
Arsenal defence strength 0.698
Brighton attack strength 0.934
Brighton defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55