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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Emirates Stadium

Competition

Premier League

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Arsenal Win

45%

Arsenal

2.22

26%

Draw

3.87

29%

Brentford

3.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Arsenal xG

Total xG

2.62

1.14

Brentford xG

45%
26%
29%
ArsenalDrawBrentford

2.22

45%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

3.43

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

32%

Arsenal

3.13

23%

Brentford

4.40

Win to Nil

14%

Arsenal

6.94

7%

Brentford

15.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 8.3 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.8 12.3 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.1 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.9 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.482
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.622
League avg home goals 1.421
League avg away goals 1.437
Arsenal attack strength 1.189
Arsenal defence strength 0.740
Brentford attack strength 1.071
Brentford defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69