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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Arsenal Win
55%
1.82
22%
4.47
23%
4.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.89
Arsenal xG
Total xG
3.03
1.13
Aston Villa xG
ArsenalDrawAston Villa
1.82
55%
Home win
4.47
22%
Draw
4.43
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.74
42%
BTTS No
2.36
Clean Sheet
32%
3.11
15%
6.63
Win to Nil
18%
5.64
3%
29.37
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 10.4 | 5.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.8 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.892
λ Away (xG)
1.134
Total xG
3.026
League avg home goals
1.507
League avg away goals
1.279
Arsenal attack strength
1.290
Arsenal defence strength
0.713
Aston Villa attack strength
1.243
Aston Villa defence strength
0.974
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56