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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Walsall Win

62%

Walsall

1.61

21%

Draw

4.79

17%

Newport County

5.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Walsall xG

Total xG

3.34

1.11

Newport County xG

62%
21%
17%
WalsallDrawNewport County

1.61

62%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

5.87

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

33%

Walsall

3.02

11%

Newport County

9.30

Win to Nil

21%

Walsall

4.87

2%

Newport County

54.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 3.9 2.2 0.8 0.2
1 7.9 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 7.3 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.7 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.230
λ Away (xG) 1.106
Total xG 3.336
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.162
Walsall attack strength 1.341
Walsall defence strength 1.065
Newport County attack strength 0.894
Newport County defence strength 1.264
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67