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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Promotion Play-offs - Semi-finals

Kick-off

Fri 16 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Walsall Win

43%

Walsall

2.33

26%

Draw

3.80

31%

Chesterfield

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Walsall xG

Total xG

2.74

1.24

Chesterfield xG

43%
26%
31%
WalsallDrawChesterfield

2.33

43%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

29%

Walsall

3.44

22%

Chesterfield

4.49

Win to Nil

12%

Walsall

8.01

7%

Chesterfield

14.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 8.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.7 12.0 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.502
λ Away (xG) 1.235
Total xG 2.737
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.138
Walsall attack strength 1.211
Walsall defence strength 1.235
Chesterfield attack strength 0.879
Chesterfield defence strength 0.965
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 46