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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Walsall Win

58%

Walsall

1.73

22%

Draw

4.60

20%

Chesterfield

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Walsall xG

Total xG

3.26

1.17

Chesterfield xG

58%
22%
20%
WalsallDrawChesterfield

1.73

58%

Home win

4.60

22%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.56

Clean Sheet

31%

Walsall

3.23

12%

Chesterfield

8.07

Win to Nil

18%

Walsall

5.58

3%

Chesterfield

39.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 8.0 9.4 5.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.8 5.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 5.8 6.8 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 3.0 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.088
λ Away (xG) 1.173
Total xG 3.261
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.120
Walsall attack strength 1.444
Walsall defence strength 1.095
Chesterfield attack strength 0.956
Chesterfield defence strength 1.091
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 29