Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Prenton Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Tranmere Win

42%

Tranmere

2.36

30%

Draw

3.28

27%

Carlisle

3.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Tranmere xG

Total xG

2.37

1.03

Carlisle xG

42%
30%
27%
TranmereDrawCarlisle

2.36

42%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.68

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

36%

Tranmere

2.79

26%

Carlisle

3.81

Win to Nil

15%

Tranmere

6.59

7%

Carlisle

14.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.6 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.9 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.6 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.8 3.9 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.338
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.191
Tranmere attack strength 0.851
Tranmere defence strength 1.055
Carlisle attack strength 0.817
Carlisle defence strength 1.171
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 23