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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

57%

Swindon Town

1.77

22%

Draw

4.59

22%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.36

1.25

Milton Keynes Dons xG

57%
22%
22%
Swindon TownDrawMilton Keynes Dons

1.77

57%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.72

Clean Sheet

29%

Swindon Town

3.49

12%

Milton Keynes Dons

8.26

Win to Nil

16%

Swindon Town

6.17

3%

Milton Keynes Dons

38.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
1 7.3 9.2 5.7 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 7.7 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.4 6.8 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.111
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 3.362
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.138
Swindon Town attack strength 1.276
Swindon Town defence strength 1.258
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 0.874
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.257
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91