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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

48%

Swindon Town

2.07

23%

Draw

4.38

29%

Grimsby

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

7.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.19

1.36

Grimsby xG

48%
23%
29%
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby

2.07

48%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

26%

Swindon Town

3.91

16%

Grimsby

6.18

Win to Nil

12%

Swindon Town

8.09

5%

Grimsby

21.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 5.6 3.8 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 7.5 10.3 7.0 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.2 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.822
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 3.185
League avg home goals 1.334
League avg away goals 1.189
Swindon Town attack strength 1.143
Swindon Town defence strength 0.946
Grimsby attack strength 1.212
Grimsby defence strength 1.196
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62