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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

26%

Swindon Town

3.87

27%

Draw

3.76

48%

Grimsby

2.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.61

1.54

Grimsby xG

26%
27%
48%
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby

3.87

26%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.10

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

21%

Swindon Town

4.66

34%

Grimsby

2.92

Win to Nil

6%

Swindon Town

18.06

16%

Grimsby

6.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 11.3 8.7 4.5 1.7 0.5
1 7.9 12.1 9.3 4.8 1.8 0.6
2 4.2 6.5 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.5 2.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 1.540
Total xG 2.610
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.194
Swindon Town attack strength 1.083
Swindon Town defence strength 1.227
Grimsby attack strength 1.051
Grimsby defence strength 0.791
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66