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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

37%

Swindon Town

2.72

28%

Draw

3.60

35%

Crewe

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.75

1.36

Crewe xG

37%
28%
35%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe

2.72

37%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

2.82

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

26%

Swindon Town

3.88

25%

Crewe

4.01

Win to Nil

9%

Swindon Town

10.55

9%

Crewe

11.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.7 5.9 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 8.9 12.1 8.2 3.7 1.3 0.3
2 6.2 8.4 5.7 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.9 3.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.388
λ Away (xG) 1.357
Total xG 2.745
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.199
Swindon Town attack strength 1.259
Swindon Town defence strength 1.233
Crewe attack strength 0.918
Crewe defence strength 0.819
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 70