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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

42%

Swindon Town

2.35

29%

Draw

3.47

29%

Colchester

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.57

1.14

Colchester xG

42%
29%
29%
Swindon TownDrawColchester

2.35

42%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

32%

Swindon Town

3.13

24%

Colchester

4.20

Win to Nil

14%

Swindon Town

7.36

7%

Colchester

14.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 10.9 12.5 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.9 5.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.7 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.434
λ Away (xG) 1.140
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.161
Swindon Town attack strength 1.194
Swindon Town defence strength 1.199
Colchester attack strength 0.818
Colchester defence strength 0.908
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 68