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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Swindon Town Win
52%
1.91
23%
4.35
25%
4.07
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
7.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.97
Swindon Town xG
Total xG
3.28
1.30
Chesterfield xG
Swindon TownDrawChesterfield
1.91
52%
Home win
4.35
23%
Draw
4.07
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
64%
Over 2.5
1.56
36%
Under 2.5
2.78
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.72
Clean Sheet
27%
3.68
14%
7.19
Win to Nil
14%
7.02
3%
29.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 9.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.6 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.973
λ Away (xG)
1.303
Total xG
3.276
League avg home goals
1.309
League avg away goals
1.072
Swindon Town attack strength
1.300
Swindon Town defence strength
1.258
Chesterfield attack strength
0.966
Chesterfield defence strength
1.159
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
78 / 30