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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

51%

Swindon Town

1.95

23%

Draw

4.38

26%

Cheltenham

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.09

1.25

Cheltenham xG

51%
23%
26%
Swindon TownDrawCheltenham

1.95

51%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

29%

Swindon Town

3.49

16%

Cheltenham

6.28

Win to Nil

15%

Swindon Town

6.83

4%

Cheltenham

24.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 5.7 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.4 10.5 6.6 2.7 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.7 5.9 3.7 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 2.7 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.838
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 3.089
League avg home goals 1.286
League avg away goals 1.080
Swindon Town attack strength 1.282
Swindon Town defence strength 1.166
Cheltenham attack strength 0.994
Cheltenham defence strength 1.115
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 36