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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

51%

Swindon Town

1.95

28%

Draw

3.60

21%

Barrow

4.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.42

0.89

Barrow xG

51%
28%
21%
Swindon TownDrawBarrow

1.95

51%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.79

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Swindon Town

2.43

22%

Barrow

4.62

Win to Nil

21%

Swindon Town

4.73

5%

Barrow

22.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 7.9 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 13.6 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.3 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 5.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 0.887
Total xG 2.417
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.178
Swindon Town attack strength 1.172
Swindon Town defence strength 1.136
Barrow attack strength 0.663
Barrow defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 70