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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

59%

Swindon Town

1.68

24%

Draw

4.18

17%

Barnet

6.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.81

0.91

Barnet xG

59%
24%
17%
Swindon TownDrawBarnet

1.68

59%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

6.02

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

40%

Swindon Town

2.49

15%

Barnet

6.67

Win to Nil

24%

Swindon Town

4.19

2%

Barnet

40.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.5 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 11.4 10.4 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.9 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.8 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.897
λ Away (xG) 0.913
Total xG 2.810
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.095
Swindon Town attack strength 1.234
Swindon Town defence strength 1.165
Barnet attack strength 0.716
Barnet defence strength 1.185
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 3