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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

52%

Swindon Town

1.93

27%

Draw

3.74

21%

Accrington ST

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

2.28

0.82

Accrington ST xG

52%
27%
21%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington ST

1.93

52%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

44%

Swindon Town

2.28

23%

Accrington ST

4.27

Win to Nil

23%

Swindon Town

4.40

5%

Accrington ST

19.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 8.5 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 14.9 12.3 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.8 8.9 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 5.2 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.451
λ Away (xG) 0.825
Total xG 2.276
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.179
Swindon Town attack strength 1.153
Swindon Town defence strength 0.956
Accrington ST attack strength 0.732
Accrington ST defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89