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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 22 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

The Nigel Eady County Ground

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

55%

Swindon Town

1.82

21%

Draw

4.67

24%

Accrington ST

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Swindon Town xG

Total xG

3.29

1.26

Accrington ST xG

55%
21%
24%
Swindon TownDrawAccrington ST

1.82

55%

Home win

4.67

21%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

28%

Swindon Town

3.54

13%

Accrington ST

7.58

Win to Nil

16%

Swindon Town

6.44

3%

Accrington ST

32.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 6.5 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.025
λ Away (xG) 1.265
Total xG 3.290
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.083
Swindon Town attack strength 1.351
Swindon Town defence strength 1.274
Accrington ST attack strength 0.917
Accrington ST defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83