🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gillingham Win
29%
3.44
31%
3.27
40%
2.48
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
13.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Shrewsbury xG
Total xG
2.01
1.11
Gillingham xG
ShrewsburyDrawGillingham
3.44
29%
Home win
3.27
31%
Draw
2.48
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
60%
Over 1.5
1.67
40%
Under 1.5
2.50
32%
Over 2.5
3.12
68%
Under 2.5
1.47
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.52
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
33%
3.04
41%
2.45
Win to Nil
10%
10.45
17%
6.06
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.5 | 14.9 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.0 | 13.4 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.895
λ Away (xG)
1.111
Total xG
2.006
League avg home goals
1.343
League avg away goals
1.202
Shrewsbury attack strength
0.732
Shrewsbury defence strength
0.931
Gillingham attack strength
0.993
Gillingham defence strength
0.910
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
17 / 63