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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Peninsula Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Salford City Win

55%

Salford City

1.81

26%

Draw

3.91

19%

Morecambe

5.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Salford City xG

Total xG

2.63

0.92

Morecambe xG

55%
26%
19%
Salford CityDrawMorecambe

1.81

55%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

5.26

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

40%

Salford City

2.50

18%

Morecambe

5.57

Win to Nil

22%

Salford City

4.51

3%

Morecambe

29.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 6.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.4 11.3 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.6 9.7 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 6.1 5.6 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.6 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.717
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.162
Salford City attack strength 1.158
Salford City defence strength 0.806
Morecambe attack strength 0.977
Morecambe defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 68