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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Thu 13 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

31%

Port Vale

3.27

26%

Draw

3.82

43%

Notts County

2.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.91

1.60

Notts County xG

31%
26%
43%
Port ValeDrawNotts County

3.27

31%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

2.31

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

20%

Port Vale

4.93

27%

Notts County

3.71

Win to Nil

6%

Port Vale

16.13

12%

Notts County

8.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.7 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.2 11.4 9.1 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.5 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.3 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.311
λ Away (xG) 1.596
Total xG 2.907
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.129
Port Vale attack strength 0.940
Port Vale defence strength 1.022
Notts County attack strength 1.383
Notts County defence strength 1.049
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 75