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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Port Vale Win

50%

Port Vale

2.00

25%

Draw

3.98

25%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.62

1.04

Milton Keynes Dons xG

50%
25%
25%
Port ValeDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.00

50%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

35%

Port Vale

2.83

21%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.87

Win to Nil

18%

Port Vale

5.66

5%

Milton Keynes Dons

19.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.5 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.5 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.584
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.289
League avg away goals 1.086
Port Vale attack strength 0.893
Port Vale defence strength 0.886
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.080
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.375
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 81