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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

35%

Port Vale

2.82

28%

Draw

3.57

37%

Accrington ST

2.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.73

1.38

Accrington ST xG

35%
28%
37%
Port ValeDrawAccrington ST

2.82

35%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.73

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

25%

Port Vale

3.96

26%

Accrington ST

3.86

Win to Nil

9%

Port Vale

11.16

9%

Accrington ST

10.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 9.0 6.2 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.8 12.2 8.4 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.0 8.2 5.6 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.7 3.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.350
λ Away (xG) 1.375
Total xG 2.725
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.123
Port Vale attack strength 0.910
Port Vale defence strength 1.042
Accrington ST attack strength 1.174
Accrington ST defence strength 1.143
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 72