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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Boundary Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swindon Town Win

28%

Oldham

3.52

30%

Draw

3.39

42%

Swindon Town

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Oldham xG

Total xG

2.42

1.35

Swindon Town xG

28%
30%
42%
OldhamDrawSwindon Town

3.52

28%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

26%

Oldham

3.86

34%

Swindon Town

2.91

Win to Nil

7%

Oldham

13.58

14%

Swindon Town

6.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 12.0 8.1 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.1 6.9 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.068
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.079
Oldham attack strength 0.849
Oldham defence strength 1.122
Swindon Town attack strength 1.116
Swindon Town defence strength 0.996
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 2 / 48