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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Tue 9 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

41%

Notts County

2.45

24%

Draw

4.24

36%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Notts County xG

Total xG

3.18

1.53

Milton Keynes Dons xG

41%
24%
36%
Notts CountyDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.45

41%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

63%

BTTS Yes

1.58

37%

BTTS No

2.73

Clean Sheet

22%

Notts County

4.63

19%

Milton Keynes Dons

5.21

Win to Nil

9%

Notts County

11.36

7%

Milton Keynes Dons

14.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.4 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3
1 6.8 10.5 8.0 4.1 1.6 0.5
2 5.6 8.7 6.6 3.4 1.3 0.4
3 3.1 4.8 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 2.0 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.650
λ Away (xG) 1.532
Total xG 3.182
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.216
Notts County attack strength 1.204
Notts County defence strength 1.041
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.210
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64