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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Semi-finals

Kick-off

Fri 15 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

40%

Notts County

2.48

25%

Draw

3.93

34%

Chesterfield

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.75

1.31

Chesterfield xG

40%
25%
34%
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield

2.48

40%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

27%

Notts County

3.71

24%

Chesterfield

4.23

Win to Nil

11%

Notts County

9.19

8%

Chesterfield

12.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 8.3 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
1 9.2 12.0 7.9 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.7 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.2 4.2 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 2.753
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.199
Notts County attack strength 1.253
Notts County defence strength 1.005
Chesterfield attack strength 1.086
Chesterfield defence strength 0.892
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 92 / 92