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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Meadow Lane

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Notts County Win

53%

Notts County

1.89

25%

Draw

4.00

22%

Accrington ST

4.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

Notts County xG

Total xG

2.71

1.02

Accrington ST xG

53%
25%
22%
Notts CountyDrawAccrington ST

1.89

53%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

4.50

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

36%

Notts County

2.76

18%

Accrington ST

5.45

Win to Nil

19%

Notts County

5.23

4%

Accrington ST

24.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 6.7 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.3 11.4 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.5 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.017
Total xG 2.713
League avg home goals 1.301
League avg away goals 1.224
Notts County attack strength 1.228
Notts County defence strength 0.957
Accrington ST attack strength 0.869
Accrington ST defence strength 1.061
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69