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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

12:30

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Walsall Win

34%

Newport County

2.92

28%

Draw

3.54

38%

Walsall

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.58

1.33

Walsall xG

34%
28%
38%
Newport CountyDrawWalsall

2.92

34%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.67

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

27%

Newport County

3.77

28%

Walsall

3.52

Win to Nil

9%

Newport County

11.00

11%

Walsall

9.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 10.0 6.6 2.9 1.0 0.3
1 9.5 12.6 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.258
λ Away (xG) 1.327
Total xG 2.585
League avg home goals 1.307
League avg away goals 1.128
Newport County attack strength 0.941
Newport County defence strength 1.133
Walsall attack strength 1.038
Walsall defence strength 1.023
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 89