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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 24 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

55%

Newport County

1.83

24%

Draw

4.23

22%

Swindon Town

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Newport County xG

Total xG

3.13

1.18

Swindon Town xG

55%
24%
22%
Newport CountyDrawSwindon Town

1.83

55%

Home win

4.23

24%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

31%

Newport County

3.24

14%

Swindon Town

7.04

Win to Nil

17%

Newport County

5.95

3%

Swindon Town

32.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.2 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 8.5 10.1 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.8 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 5.4 6.4 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.6 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.951
λ Away (xG) 1.177
Total xG 3.128
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.176
Newport County attack strength 1.228
Newport County defence strength 1.185
Swindon Town attack strength 0.844
Swindon Town defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 73