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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

12:30

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

31%

Newport County

3.26

32%

Draw

3.14

38%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.11

1.12

Milton Keynes Dons xG

31%
32%
38%
Newport CountyDrawMilton Keynes Dons

3.26

31%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

33%

Newport County

3.07

37%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.68

Win to Nil

10%

Newport County

10.03

14%

Milton Keynes Dons

7.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 13.6 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.6 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.987
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.109
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.125
Newport County attack strength 0.836
Newport County defence strength 1.014
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 0.984
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 0.919
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50