Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

33%

Newport County

3.04

26%

Draw

3.81

41%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.80

1.49

Milton Keynes Dons xG

33%
26%
41%
Newport CountyDrawMilton Keynes Dons

3.04

33%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

23%

Newport County

4.43

27%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.71

Win to Nil

7%

Newport County

13.47

11%

Milton Keynes Dons

9.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 8.0 11.9 8.8 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 7.8 5.8 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.3 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.312
λ Away (xG) 1.488
Total xG 2.800
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.194
Newport County attack strength 0.981
Newport County defence strength 1.033
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.207
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64