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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

15:01

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

22%

Newport County

4.46

24%

Draw

4.22

54%

Grimsby

1.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.77

1.74

Grimsby xG

22%
24%
54%
Newport CountyDrawGrimsby

4.46

22%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

1.85

54%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

18%

Newport County

5.68

36%

Grimsby

2.81

Win to Nil

4%

Newport County

25.35

19%

Grimsby

5.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 10.9 9.5 5.5 2.4 0.8
1 6.5 11.2 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.3 5.8 5.0 2.9 1.3 0.4
3 1.1 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.032
λ Away (xG) 1.737
Total xG 2.769
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 1.196
Newport County attack strength 0.920
Newport County defence strength 1.340
Grimsby attack strength 1.084
Grimsby defence strength 0.883
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74