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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 24 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chesterfield Win

29%

Newport County

3.50

25%

Draw

4.08

47%

Chesterfield

2.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.83

1.62

Chesterfield xG

29%
25%
47%
Newport CountyDrawChesterfield

3.50

29%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

2.13

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

20%

Newport County

5.06

30%

Chesterfield

3.36

Win to Nil

6%

Newport County

17.73

14%

Chesterfield

7.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 9.5 7.7 4.2 1.7 0.5
1 7.1 11.6 9.4 5.1 2.1 0.7
2 4.3 7.0 5.7 3.1 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.8 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 1.622
Total xG 2.834
League avg home goals 1.285
League avg away goals 1.223
Newport County attack strength 0.855
Newport County defence strength 1.188
Chesterfield attack strength 1.117
Chesterfield defence strength 1.103
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 72