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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 18 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

51%

Newport County

1.97

24%

Draw

4.12

25%

Cheltenham

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.77

1.10

Cheltenham xG

51%
24%
25%
Newport CountyDrawCheltenham

1.97

51%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

33%

Newport County

3.00

19%

Cheltenham

5.33

Win to Nil

17%

Newport County

5.91

5%

Cheltenham

21.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.9 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.5 11.5 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.6 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.4 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.673
λ Away (xG) 1.099
Total xG 2.772
League avg home goals 1.333
League avg away goals 1.174
Newport County attack strength 0.801
Newport County defence strength 1.207
Cheltenham attack strength 0.776
Cheltenham defence strength 1.567
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58