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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 6 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

40%

Newport County

2.49

29%

Draw

3.48

31%

Bristol Rovers

3.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.23

1.03

Bristol Rovers xG

40%
29%
31%
Newport CountyDrawBristol Rovers

2.49

40%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.21

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Newport County

2.79

30%

Bristol Rovers

3.34

Win to Nil

14%

Newport County

6.95

9%

Bristol Rovers

10.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 11.0 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.3 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.026
Total xG 2.232
League avg home goals 1.172
League avg away goals 1.122
Newport County attack strength 0.879
Newport County defence strength 1.090
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.839
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.171
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 6