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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barrow Win

23%

Newport County

4.34

25%

Draw

3.94

52%

Barrow

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.52

1.56

Barrow xG

23%
25%
52%
Newport CountyDrawBarrow

4.34

23%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

21%

Newport County

4.78

38%

Barrow

2.60

Win to Nil

5%

Newport County

20.72

20%

Barrow

5.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 12.6 9.9 5.1 2.0 0.6
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.7 5.7 4.5 2.3 0.9 0.3
3 1.2 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.955
λ Away (xG) 1.564
Total xG 2.519
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.202
Newport County attack strength 0.806
Newport County defence strength 1.424
Barrow attack strength 0.914
Barrow defence strength 0.882
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63