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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Newport County Win

51%

Newport County

1.95

28%

Draw

3.60

21%

Barrow

4.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.46

0.91

Barrow xG

51%
28%
21%
Newport CountyDrawBarrow

1.95

51%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.78

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

40%

Newport County

2.48

21%

Barrow

4.73

Win to Nil

21%

Newport County

4.85

4%

Barrow

22.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
1 13.2 12.0 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.4 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.554
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.464
League avg home goals 1.298
League avg away goals 1.123
Newport County attack strength 1.166
Newport County defence strength 1.275
Barrow attack strength 0.635
Barrow defence strength 1.027
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 73