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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Rodney Parade

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnet Win

26%

Newport County

3.83

26%

Draw

3.78

47%

Barnet

2.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Newport County xG

Total xG

2.66

1.56

Barnet xG

26%
26%
47%
Newport CountyDrawBarnet

3.83

26%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.11

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

21%

Newport County

4.76

33%

Barnet

3.00

Win to Nil

5%

Newport County

18.24

16%

Barnet

6.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 10.9 8.5 4.4 1.7 0.5
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.2 6.6 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.5 2.4 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.097
λ Away (xG) 1.561
Total xG 2.658
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.271
Newport County attack strength 0.831
Newport County defence strength 1.400
Barnet attack strength 0.877
Barnet defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 21