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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 1 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Mazuma Mobile Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Morecambe Win

42%

Morecambe

2.36

26%

Draw

3.84

32%

Cheltenham

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Morecambe xG

Total xG

2.63

1.20

Cheltenham xG

42%
26%
32%
MorecambeDrawCheltenham

2.36

42%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

30%

Morecambe

3.32

24%

Cheltenham

4.17

Win to Nil

13%

Morecambe

7.85

8%

Cheltenham

13.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 8.7 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 10.3 12.4 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.4 8.8 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.5 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.429
λ Away (xG) 1.200
Total xG 2.629
League avg home goals 1.255
League avg away goals 1.068
Morecambe attack strength 0.913
Morecambe defence strength 1.101
Cheltenham attack strength 1.020
Cheltenham defence strength 1.247
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 39